Post Holdings Stock Performance

POST Stock  USD 114.61  10.20  9.77%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.18, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Post Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Post Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Post Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.0017%. Please make sure to check Post Holdings' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Post Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Post Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Post Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.06)
Five Day Return
5.21
Year To Date Return
4.8
Ten Year Return
145.38
All Time Return
796.22
Last Split Factor
1528:1000
Last Split Date
2022-03-11
1
Disposition of 2470 shares by Nico Catoggio of Post Holdings at 106.7 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
Disposition of 10000 shares by Nico Catoggio of Post Holdings at 100.2109 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
3
Disposition of 8237 shares by Robert Vitale of Post Holdings at 106.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
4
Post Holdings Announces Redemption of 1,235.0 Million 5.50 percent Senior Notes Due December 2029
12/02/2025
5
Disposition of 600 shares by Matthew Mainer of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
6
Acquisition by William Stiritz of tradable shares of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2025
7
Post Holdings, Inc. Remains Favored as Analysts Look Past Near-Term Challenges
12/17/2025
8
Disposition of 170000 shares by William Stiritz of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
9
Disposition of 131187 shares by Diedre Gray of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
10
Disposition of 9731 shares by Jeff Zadoks of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
11
Gateway Investment Advisers LLC Sells 8,086 Shares of Post Holdings, Inc. POST
01/06/2026
12
A Look At Post Holdings Valuation After Recent Share Price Move And Mixed Return Trends
01/09/2026
13
Is Post Holdings Still Attractive After Recent Share Price Weakness
01/13/2026
14
A Look At Post Holdings Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
01/23/2026
15
BellRing Brands Downgraded to Strong Sell Rating by Zacks Research
01/29/2026
16
Acquisition by Dorothy Burwell of 108 shares of Post Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
17
POSTs Q1 Earnings Coming Up Will the Stock Extend Its Beat Streak
02/02/2026
18
BellRing Brands CEO to step down
02/03/2026
19
Post Holdings Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot
02/05/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow790.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.4 B

Post Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,543  in Post Holdings on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (102.00) from holding Post Holdings or give up 0.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Post Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.7034% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Post, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Post Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Post Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Post Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 114.61 90 days 114.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Post Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Post Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Post Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Post Holdings has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Post Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Post Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Post Holdings has an alpha of 0.0044, implying that it can generate a 0.004358 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Post Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Post Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Post Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Post Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.71104.41106.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.97110.08111.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.46109.16110.87
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
113.18124.38138.06
Details

Post Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Post Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Post Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Post Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Post Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Post Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Post Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Post Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Post Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Post Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Post Holdings Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot

Post Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Post Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Post Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Post Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments176.7 M

Post Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Post Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Post Holdings, and Post Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Post Stock performance.

About Post Holdings Performance

Assessing Post Holdings' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Post Holdings' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Post Holdings is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.15  57.63 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.32 
Return On Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 

Things to note about Post Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Post Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Post Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Post Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Post Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Post Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Post Holdings Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot
Evaluating Post Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Post Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Post Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Post Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Post Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Post Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Post Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Post Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Post Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Post Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Post Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Post Stock Analysis

When running Post Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Post Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Post Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Post Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Post Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Post Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Post Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.